Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 7.670854 8.793392 10.039917 11.529663 13.265470 15.228640 17.623565
2025-01-05 6.184983 7.629575 9.367414 11.622767 14.487963 18.026999 22.761188
2025-01-12 5.226148 6.793439 8.790529 11.542677 15.269231 20.185554 27.238449
2025-01-19 4.530411 6.141243 8.291039 11.401735 15.840088 22.024060 31.431500
2025-01-26 4.174789 5.872884 8.234183 11.803460 17.142518 24.960746 37.514089
2025-02-02 3.846592 5.590116 8.103937 12.053975 18.217618 27.657159 43.577043
2025-02-09 3.630784 5.437514 8.131365 12.520332 19.646418 31.033249 51.160216
2025-02-16 3.259287 5.006291 7.685981 12.188292 19.751007 32.285357 55.361741
2025-02-23 2.985876 4.697011 7.392917 12.056809 20.149317 34.041143 60.645290
2025-03-02 2.752433 4.427041 7.132214 11.942327 20.548102 35.821763 66.195737
2025-03-09 2.534726 4.161432 6.850824 11.756607 20.788650 37.329459 71.418513
2025-03-16 2.326890 3.893206 6.538804 11.480509 20.825066 38.448628 76.012644
2025-03-23 2.263734 3.870440 6.651723 11.990768 22.403853 42.725994 87.784411
2025-03-30 2.144084 3.737456 6.556982 12.104136 23.229953 45.628827 97.117288
2025-04-06 2.008350 3.563368 6.371086 12.021521 23.651590 47.752567 105.057174
2025-04-13 1.877249 3.386566 6.163968 11.874232 23.919505 49.578310 112.595087
2025-04-20 1.828911 3.360137 6.237335 12.294297 25.423836 54.265429 127.721248
2025-04-27 1.764703 3.297681 6.234806 12.556279 26.614758 58.407004 142.225397
2025-05-04 1.729533 3.288463 6.335408 13.044042 28.363140 64.065251 161.648539
2025-05-11 1.609348 3.101087 6.061899 12.696752 28.162113 65.063245 168.823591
2025-05-18 1.519891 2.969070 5.891190 12.559242 28.435826 67.254494 179.682053
2025-05-25 1.439070 2.848768 5.735239 12.439518 28.737763 69.554823 191.272849
2025-06-01 1.357654 2.721368 5.554345 12.245304 28.835013 71.341410 201.687636